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🗞️ Story file #369

UK PM says Iran's IRGC likely behind airbase incident

Oct 12, 1 PM ET to Oct 12, 10 PM ET

👣 How this story traveled: from the front pages that broke it, out through TV, radio and the shows, into what people retold and what fact-checkers examined, and on into the saga it is part of. Everything here is matched to the story by our tools, so a link can be wrong; the trackers' pages say how each is made.

  1. Oct 12, 1 PM ETfirst on a front page: Axios
  2. Oct 12, 4 PM ETfirst on TV: BBC News
  3. Oct 12, 6 PM ETfirst on the radio: NPR News Now
  4. Oct 12, 10 PM ETpeak: on 16 front pages

📰 Spread

the front pages that ran it, hour by hour

Oct 12, 2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PM816leftcenterright
Front pages carrying it at each hourly run, Oct 12, 1 PM to Oct 12, 10 PM ET (peak 16), by the outlets' lean: left · center · right
Oct 12, 2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PMReutersReutersReuters, Oct 12, 12:02 PM ET: UK PM Burnham says Iran's IRGC likely behind RAF Fairford incidentAPAPAP, Oct 12, 12:02 PM ET: Security incident at US-run airbase was almost certainly directed by Iran, UK prime minister saysAP, Oct 12, 3:02 PM ET: Suspected plot at US-run air base almost certainly directed by Iran, UK prime minister saysNewsmaxNewsmaxNewsmax, Oct 12, 12:02 PM ET: Security Incident at US-run Airbase Was Almost Certainly Directed by Iran, UK Prime Minister SaysNewsmax, Oct 12, 6:02 PM ET: UK PM: Iran 'Almost Certainly' Behind Incident at US-Run AirbaseThe GuardianThe GuardianThe Guardian, Oct 12, 12:02 PM ET: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards ‘almost certainly’ behind threats to UK airbase where US bombers were stationed, says BurnhamThe Guardian, Oct 12, 2:02 PM ET: UK prime minister: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards ‘almost certainly’ behind threats at base where US bombers were stationedMilitary.comMilitary.comMilitary.com, Oct 12, 1:02 PM ET: Security Incident at US-Run Air Base Almost Certainly Directed by Iran, UK Prime Minister SaysLos Angeles TimesLos Angeles TimesLos Angeles Times, Oct 12, 1:02 PM ET: Security incident at U.S.-run air base almost certainly directed by Iran, U.K. prime minister saysWashington ExaminerWashington ExaminerWashington Examiner, Oct 12, 1:02 PM ET: Andy Burnham says Iran’s Revolutionary Guard ‘almost certainly’ directed RAF Fairford plotAxiosAxiosAxios, Oct 12, 1:02 PM ET: U.K. prime minister attributes plot against U.S. bomber base to IranNBC NewsNBC NewsNBC News, Oct 12, 2:02 PM ET: Security incident at U.S.-run airbase almost certainly directed by Iran, U.K. prime minister saysIJRIndependent Journal ReviewIndependent Journal Review, Oct 12, 2:02 PM ET: UK Says Iran’s IRGC Likely Directed Airbase IncidentTownhallTownhallTownhall, Oct 12, 3:02 PM ET: Burnham Confirms Iran Suspicions in RAF Fairford PlotTownhall, Oct 12, 4:02 PM ET: Burnham Confirms Iran Suspicions in RAF Fairford Plot Cameron ArcandBloombergBloombergBloomberg, Oct 12, 5:02 PM ET: UK Says Iran’s IRGC Directed Incident at Airbase Used by USThe Washington TimesThe Washington TimesThe Washington Times, Oct 12, 5:02 PM ET: U.K. prime minister: Iran ‘almost certainly’ behind alleged attack at RAF FairfordPBS NewsHourPBS NewsHourPBS NewsHour, Oct 12, 7:02 PM ET: Suspected plot at U.S.-run air base almost certainly directed by Iran, UK prime minister saysThe Epoch TimesThe Epoch TimesThe Epoch Times, Oct 12, 8:02 PM ET: Terror Plot at UK Airbase ‘Almost Certainly’ Directed by Iran, British PM SaysJust the NewsJust the NewsJust the News, Oct 12, 10:02 PM ET: UK's Burnham says Iran likely behind foiled plot on base hosting U.S. bombers📺 TVBBC News, 4:21 PM ET: UK summons Iranian ambassador over FairfordBBC News, 4:22 PM ET: UK summons Iranian ambassador over FairfordFox News, 6:01 PM ET: UNEXPLAINED ENCOUNTERSFox News, 6:17 PM ET: AIR BASE SECURITY THREAT. BRITISH PRIME MINISTER SUSPECTS IRAN BEHIND TERROR PLOT📻 radioNPR News Now, Oct 12, 6:10 PM ET: story 3 of 6
Who carried it and when: each outlet in the order it picked the story up, a bar for each headline from when we first saw it on the front page to when we last did, in the outlet's lean color (dashed: not rated); a dot marks a new headline. Beneath, its captions on TV, the radio newscasts that carried it (bigger: the lead) and when people were found retelling it. Hover for details.

📡 wire copy: 3 outlets ran the AP, Reuters headline nearly word for word (Military.com, Newsmax, PBS NewsHour)

💬 quoted: “almost certainly” 5

🗣️ only one side says: 🫏 air base 🫏 security incident 🫏 run air 🐘 raf fairford 🐘 fairford plot

✏️ 4 outlets ran more than one headline on it (reworded, or a follow-up)
  • AP (2 wordings): “Security incident at US-run airbase was almost certainly directed by Iran, UK prime minister says” → “Suspected plot at US-run air base almost certainly directed by Iran, UK prime minister says”
  • Newsmax (2 wordings): “Security Incident at US-run Airbase Was Almost Certainly Directed by Iran, UK Prime Minister Says” → “UK PM: Iran 'Almost Certainly' Behind Incident at US-Run Airbase”
  • The Guardian (2 wordings): “Iran’s Revolutionary Guards ‘almost certainly’ behind threats to UK airbase where US bombers were stationed, says Burnham” → “UK prime minister: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards ‘almost certainly’ behind threats at base where US bombers were stationed”
  • Townhall (2 wordings): “Burnham Confirms Iran Suspicions in RAF Fairford Plot” → “Burnham Confirms Iran Suspicions in RAF Fairford Plot Cameron Arcand”
Every outlet's first headline (16), left to right by AllSides rating

📡 Broadcast

TV, radio, and the shows that talked about it

📺 On TV

BBC News82 s
Fox News19 s
  • UK summons Iranian ambassador over Fairford BBC News, 82 s
  • AIR BASE SECURITY THREAT. BRITISH PRIME MINISTER SUSPECTS IRAN BEHIND TERROR PLOT Fox News, 11 s
  • UNEXPLAINED ENCOUNTERS Fox News, 8 s

📻 On the radio

  • NPR News Now, Oct 12, 6:10 PM ET: story 3 of 6

🧶 Retelling

what people online made of it

🦗 Nobody's retelling it online yet, as far as the daily reports of the last week can tell.

🗣️ names in it: Iran U.K. prime minister U.S. bomber base

🔎 Checking

what the fact-checkers looked into

🧐 No fact-checker has taken it on yet.

🧵 Persistence

the running story it belongs to

🧵 U.S. bombers leave UK base

  1. UK-Iranian national released on bail over suspected plot at RAF base

    Oct 3, 8 AM ET

  2. U.S. removes bombers from UK air base after suspected terror plot

    Oct 4, 6 PM ET

  3. UK police arrest seventh man in connection with Fairford airbase incident

    Oct 6, 10 AM ET

  4. U.S. bombers withdrawn from UK base due to threat concerns

    Oct 7, 9 AM ET

  5. UK PM says Iran's IRGC likely behind airbase incident (this story)

    Oct 12, 1 PM ET