BND - Brazil holds presidential election with Lula and Bolsonaro in runoff

🗞️ Story file #31

Brazil holds presidential election with Lula and Bolsonaro in runoff

Oct 3, 12 PM ET to Oct 6, 7 PM ET

41outlets carried it
🫏17 · 10 · 14🐘left · center · right
3.3 dayson the front pages
36front pages at once, at its peak
67 minof TV captions
16radio newscasts
59people retold it online
1 of 2parts of a saga

👣 How this story traveled: from the front pages that broke it, out through TV, radio and the shows, into what people retold and what fact-checkers examined, and on into the saga it is part of. Everything here is matched to the story by our tools, so a link can be wrong; the trackers' pages say how each is made.

Oct 3, 5 PM ETfirst on a front page: Newsmax
Oct 4, 9 AM ETfirst on the radio: NPR News Now
Oct 4, 2 PM ETretold online by 59 people
Oct 4, 8 PM ETfirst on TV: BBC News
Oct 5, 10 AM ETpeak: on 36 front pages

the front pages that ran it, hour by hour

Front pages carrying it at each hourly run, Oct 4, 9 AM to Oct 6, 7 PM ET (peak 34), by the outlets' lean: left · center · right

Who carried it and when: each outlet in the order it picked the story up, a bar for each headline from when we first saw it on the front page to when we last did, in the outlet's lean color (dashed: not rated); a dot marks a new headline. Beneath, its captions on TV, the radio newscasts that carried it (bigger: the lead) and when people were found retelling it. Hover for details.

📡 wire copy: 3 outlets ran the AP, Reuters headline nearly word for word (HuffPost, NBC News, Newsmax)

📌 linked by aggregators: Drudge Report Political Wire

💬 quoted: “Just a Few Days Left Until We Rescue Brazil!”

🗣️ only one side says: 🐘 flavio bolsonaro

✏️ 27 outlets ran more than one headline on it (reworded, or a follow-up)

AP (8 wordings): “Brazil’s presidential vote pits Trump ally against incumbent Lula” → “Bolsonaro and Lula head to a runoff in Brazil’s presidential election”
Axios (2 wordings): “Lula v. Bolsonaro: Brazil election unfolds in Trump's shadow” → “Why Brazil's markets rallied”
BBC (6 wordings): “What to know about Brazil's election pitting Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro” → “Flávio Bolsonaro rides right-wing wave to win first round of Brazil election”
Bloomberg (15 wordings): “Lula and Bolsonaro Deadlocked” → “Flávio Bolsonaro Secures Key Endorsement in Drive for Brazil Presidency”
Breitbart (6 wordings): “Bolsonaro Overperforms to Reach Round 2 of Brazil Presidential Election Against Incumbent Socialist Lula” → “…Flavio Bolsonaro Celebrates First Round Win: ‘Just a Few Days Left Until We Rescue Brazil!’”
CNBC (2 wordings): “Lula or Bolsonaro: Wall Street braces for different results in Brazil election” → “Brazilian stocks jump as Bolsonaro now seen as heavy favorite to win presidency”
Financial Times (4 wordings): “Flávio Bolsonaro takes lead in first round of Brazil election” → “Brazil’s markets surge as investors bet on Bolsonaro win”
Foreign Policy (3 wordings): “How Flávio Bolsonaro Sees the World” → “The Forces Shaping Brazil’s Election”
Fox News (3 wordings): “Latin America’s conservative shift faces its biggest test yet in Brazil election” → “Bolsonaro wins first round of Brazilian presidential election, as Trump-backed candidates continue red wave”
Google News (4 wordings): “Brazil's Lula-Bolsonaro showdown unfolds in Trump's shadow — with the Amazon at stake - Axios” → “Lula, Bolsonaro in Dead Heat as Brazil Prepares to Vote - Bloomberg.com”
HuffPost (3 wordings): “Brazilians Voted For Next President As Lula And Flávio Bolsonaro Hope For First Round Victory” → “BRAZIL NAIL-BITER: Bolsonaro Beats Expectations, Lula In Trouble”
Independent Journal Review (3 wordings): “Brazil Votes in Polarized Lula-Bolsonaro Race” → “Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro Set for Brazil Runoff”
Jacobin (2 wordings): “The Stakes Are High in Brazil’s Upcoming Election” → “Lula Is in Danger of Losing Brazil’s Presidency”
Just the News (2 wordings): “Brazilians head to the polls Sunday in closely watched presidential election” → “Bolsonaro, Lula advance to runoff in closely watched Brazilian presidential election”
Los Angeles Times (2 wordings): “Brazil presidential election heads to runoff as Bolsonaro and Lula fall short of a majority” → “Lula seeks shake-up and Flávio Bolsonaro reaches for more support ahead of Brazil’s election runoff”
NBC News (2 wordings): “Brazilians head to polls in high-stakes, polarized election as Lula faces Flavio Bolsonaro” → “Brazil election headed to runoff, projection shows, as Flavio Bolsonaro lead narrows”
NPR (3 wordings): “Brazil's big political rematch: What to know about the Brazilian election” → “Brazil's presidential race heads to Lula-Bolsonaro runoff as right gains ground”
New York Times (3 wordings): “Brazil Elections Head to Runoff Between Lula and Bolsonaro Son” → “In a Major Boost for the Right, Another Bolsonaro Nears Brazil’s Presidency”
Newsmax (7 wordings): “Brazil's Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Campaign in Powerhouse State Ahead of Sunday's Presidential Vote” → “Lula Seeks Shake-up and Flávio Bolsonaro Reaches for More Support Ahead of Brazil's Election Runoff”
Newsweek (2 wordings): “Trump Ally Bolsonaro vs. Lula: Final Polls as Brazil Votes for President” → “Trump Ally Bolsonaro Tops Lula in Brazil Vote, Forcing Runoff”
Red State (2 wordings): “Make Brazil Great Again: Bolsonaro Tops Lula Ward Clark” → “Make Brazil Great Again: Bolsonaro Tops Lula”
Reuters (19 wordings): “Brazil's Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro wrap up campaigns ahead of first-round vote” → “Brazil markets' Bolsonaro rally sends stock exchange to record high - reuters.com”
Semafor (4 wordings): “Brazil faces uncertain diplomatic future after elections” → “Brazilian stocks soar as Bolsonaro emerges as election favorite”
The Economist (3 wordings): “Brazil rut: Lula v Bolsonaro, again” → “The Bolsonaro comeback in Brazil”
The Epoch Times (3 wordings): “Brazil Votes as Lula Faces Flavio Bolsonaro in Presidential Race” → “Brazil’s Presidential Election Heads to Runoff Between Bolsonaro and Lula”
The Gateway Pundit (2 wordings): “ELECTION DAY IN BRAZIL: Crooked CCP-Backed Socialist Lula Faces Off Against Flavio Bolsonaro” → “Flavio Bolsonaro Wins First Round of Brazilian Elections, Leading 47.3% to 44.9% over Dirty CCP-Puppet Lula – Conservatives Win Record Number in Senate – Runoff Oct. 25”
The Guardian (8 wordings): “Brazil’s Lula says only he can stop rise of fascism under Bolsonaro’s son” → “Keeping up with the Bolsonaros: Flávio’s surprise first-round election win heralds rise of a political dynasty”

Every outlet's first headline (41), left to right by AllSides rating

HuffPost Brazilians Voted For Next President As Lula And Flávio Bolsonaro Hope For First Round Victory Oct 4, 5 PM ET
Jacobin The Stakes Are High in Brazil’s Upcoming Election Oct 2, 5 PM ET
The Guardian Brazil’s Lula says only he can stop rise of fascism under Bolsonaro’s son Oct 2, 5 PM ET
The New Republic Trump’s Meddling in Brazil’s Elections May Backfire Oct 2, 5 PM ET
AP Brazil’s presidential vote pits Trump ally against incumbent Lula Oct 4, 11 AM ET
Axios Lula v. Bolsonaro: Brazil election unfolds in Trump's shadow Oct 2, 5 PM ET
CBS News Brazil presidential election heads to runoff after no majority vote Oct 4, 11 PM ET
CNBC Lula or Bolsonaro: Wall Street braces for different results in Brazil election Oct 3, 10 AM ET
CNN Trump, crime and corruption loom over Brazil’s presidential vote Oct 4, 8 AM ET
Google News Brazil's Lula-Bolsonaro showdown unfolds in Trump's shadow — with the Amazon at stake - Axios Oct 3, 8 AM ET
Los Angeles Times Brazil presidential election heads to runoff as Bolsonaro and Lula fall short of a majority Oct 4, 11 PM ET
NBC News Brazilians head to polls in high-stakes, polarized election as Lula faces Flavio Bolsonaro Oct 4, 11 AM ET
NPR Brazil's big political rematch: What to know about the Brazilian election Oct 3, 11 AM ET
New York Times Brazil Elections Head to Runoff Between Lula and Bolsonaro Son Oct 4, 9 PM ET
PBS NewsHour Lula shake-ups campaign as Flávio Bolsonaro reaches for more support ahead of Brazil's runoff Oct 5, 2 PM ET
Semafor Brazil faces uncertain diplomatic future after elections Oct 2, 5 PM ET
The Economist Brazil rut: Lula v Bolsonaro, again Oct 2, 5 PM ET
BBC What to know about Brazil's election pitting Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro Oct 4, 1 AM ET
Bloomberg Lula and Bolsonaro Deadlocked Oct 3, 8 AM ET
Chicago Tribune The Latest: Brazil heads to runoff presidential election between Bolsonaro, Lula Oct 4, 9 PM ET
Financial Times Flávio Bolsonaro takes lead in first round of Brazil election Oct 4, 9 PM ET
Foreign Affairs Brazil’s Election Won’t Fix What’s Broken Oct 2, 5 PM ET
Foreign Policy How Flávio Bolsonaro Sees the World Oct 2, 5 PM ET
Newsweek Trump Ally Bolsonaro vs. Lula: Final Polls as Brazil Votes for President Oct 4, 6 AM ET
Reuters Brazil's Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro wrap up campaigns ahead of first-round vote Oct 3, 8 PM ET
Straight Arrow News Brazil election heads to runoff between Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro as Trump looms Oct 5, 10 AM ET
CS Monitor Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro beats polls in presidential vote, faces Lula in runoff By Brendan O'Boyle, Luciana Magalhaes and Rodrigo Viga Gaier / 4 min Oct 6, 5 PM ET
Just the News Brazilians head to the polls Sunday in closely watched presidential election Oct 4, 12 PM ET
The American Conservative Brazil’s Elections Head to Second Round After Right-Wing Surge Oct 5, 9 AM ET
The Epoch Times Brazil Votes as Lula Faces Flavio Bolsonaro in Presidential Race Oct 4, 10 AM ET
Breitbart Bolsonaro Overperforms to Reach Round 2 of Brazil Presidential Election Against Incumbent Socialist Lula Oct 4, 10 PM ET
Fox News Latin America’s conservative shift faces its biggest test yet in Brazil election Oct 4, 10 AM ET
IJR Brazil Votes in Polarized Lula-Bolsonaro Race Oct 4, 1 PM ET
New York Post Brazil’s presidential election between Bolsonaro, Lulu heads to runoff after both fail to garner a majority of votes Oct 4, 10 PM ET
Newsmax Brazil's Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Campaign in Powerhouse State Ahead of Sunday's Presidential Vote Oct 3, 5 PM ET
PJ Media Brazil Goes to the Polls Sunday. Will It Do the 'Right' Thing? Oct 4, 1 PM ET
Red State Make Brazil Great Again: Bolsonaro Tops Lula Ward Clark Oct 5, 11 AM ET
The Daily Caller All Bets Are Off On Brazil’s Presidential Election, Literally Oct 2, 5 PM ET
The Gateway Pundit ELECTION DAY IN BRAZIL: Crooked CCP-Backed Socialist Lula Faces Off Against Flavio Bolsonaro Oct 4, 3 PM ET
The National Pulse The Bolsonaros Are Bouncing Back in Brazil as Latin America Swings Right. Here’s Why: Oct 6, 2 PM ET
Townhall Brazil Might Elect a Right-Winger and That's a Big Deal for the US Oct 6, 1 AM ET

TV, radio, and the shows that talked about it

📺 On TV

BBC News54 min

CNN12 min

Fox News67 s

Brazil's presidential election goes to run-off BBC News, 21 min
PRES. LULA DA SILVA, SEN. BOLSONARO FACE A RUNOFF VOTE CNN, 12 min
Lula faces Bolsonaro in Brazilian election BBC News, 7 min
Lula and Bolsonaro represent uncertainty for Brazil BBC News, 5 min
Media projections: Brazil election heads to run-off BBC News, 5 min
Brazil assets jump as Lula faces run-off BBC News, 3 min
Projections show Brazil election needs to run-off BBC News, 3 min
Bolsonaro edges Lula in the first round BBC News, 2 min

📻 On the radio

NPR News Now, Oct 5, 8:09 PM ET: story 6 of 8
NPR News Now, Oct 5, 3:11 PM ET: story 3 of 7
NPR News Now, Oct 5, 10:10 AM ET: story 3 of 8
NPR News Now, Oct 5, 7:10 AM ET: story 5 of 6
ABC News Update, Oct 5, 7:05 AM ET: story 9 of 10
ABC News Update, Oct 5, 1:32 AM ET: story 2 of 3
NPR News Now, Oct 5, 1:10 AM ET: story 3 of 7
ABC News Update, Oct 4, 11:32 PM ET: story 2 of 3
NPR News Now, Oct 4, 11:10 PM ET: story 3 of 7
ABC News Update, Oct 4, 10:32 PM ET: story 3 of 5
NPR News Now, Oct 4, 9:10 PM ET: story 6 of 6
NPR News Now, Oct 4, 8:10 PM ET: story 4 of 6

🎙️ Shows, investigators, satire

🎙️ 🎙️ Fox News Rundown 🎙️ Bloomberg News Now 🎙️ Up First (NPR) 🎙️ The Intelligence (Economist)

what people online made of it

🧶 Retold online

Flavio Bolsonaro won the first round of Brazil's presidential election, leading the incumbent president Lula da Silva in a highly polarized race. Oct 6: told by 51 people
🧩 Polarization
Brazil's presidential election is a tight race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, with a potential runoff in October. Oct 4: told by 8 people

On Folklore: the latest in full, with their motifs and who is telling them.

🗣️ names in it: Jair Bolsonaro Lula Brazil Flávio Bolsonaro Socialist Party of Brazil

what the fact-checkers looked into

🧐 No fact-checker has taken it on yet.

the running story it belongs to

🧵 Bolsonaro-Lula presidential runoff

Brazil holds presidential election with Lula and Bolsonaro in runoff (this story)
Oct 3, 12 PM ET
Brazil police raid suspected Trump election interference operation
Oct 5, 3 PM ET

Brazil holds presidential election with Lula and Bolsonaro in runoff

📰 Spread

📡 Broadcast

📺 On TV

📻 On the radio

🎙️ Shows, investigators, satire

🧶 Retelling

🧶 Retold online

🔎 Checking

🧵 Persistence

🧵 Bolsonaro-Lula presidential runoff