🧩 BND Motif Index · M1059
Second civil war
The country is said to be in, or sliding toward, a second civil war, each side's arrests, prosecutions and violence answered harder by the other until it comes to shooting.
🪨 Beliefs🗂️ Political violence🗂️ Things fall apart
- 7claims filed under it
- 3left shows it came up on
- 1center show it came up on
- 7right shows it came up on
⚠️ A story people tell, not a claim that it's true.
A motif is the shape of a story as its tellers tell it, named the way a folklorist names a tale type, so the same story told about other people, by the other side or in another year lands in the same place. Some of the claims below are true, many are false. Arguing against a story is often a story of its own, its answer (Voter fraud is answered by Voter suppression, Lawfare by No one is above the law), and we file it there; where no answer has a motif yet, the arguments against a story sit with its tellings.
🪜 Its family
what it rests on, what rests on it, and the motifs that answer it
🔗 goes with: 🧩 Irreconcilable differences
🎙️ Who it came up with
the shows we follow where its claims came up (3 left-leaning, 1 center, 7 right-leaning so far), colored by the show's lean; the bar is how many of its claims each one heard
- 🐘 The Dan Bongino Show 2 claims
- 🫏 The Majority Report (podcast) 2 claims
- 🐘 Bannon's War Room 1 claim
- ⚖️ Breaking Points 1 claim
- 🐘 The Benny Show 1 claim
- 🐘 The Jesse Kelly Show 1 claim
- 🔀 The Jimmy Dore Show (podcast) 1 claim
- 🫏 The Kyle Kulinski Show 1 claim
- 🐘 The Mark Levin Show 1 claim
- 🐘 The Michael Berry Show 1 claim
- 🫏 The Young Turks (podcast) 1 claim
- 🐘 Timcast IRL (podcast) 1 claim
- left-leaning
- center
- right-leaning
- crossover
"Came up on" means one of its claims was heard on the show: told, reported or argued against. We don't yet mark which. Show leans are our own grouping of the shows we transcribe.
🗣️ In so many words
the words that carry it
💬 the tellers' own words: “'a CIA classified document saying that Israel might be heading for imminent state collapse or a full-blown civil war'” “'heavily armed veterans returning from prolonged combat'” “before October 7th, Israel was close to a civil war” “Israel is one spark away from real internal conflict” “Israel was quite literally on the brink of like a full-blown civil war” “look, we're in a war. We need to remind ourselves we're in a war.” “suggested that there was a potential for an Israeli civil war of sorts” “There is no investigation needed for their destabilization plot.” “There is no other way short of civil war.” “they always escalate” “This is how you end up with a civil war.” “your proposed cold to warm to hot civil war and your destabilization exercise”
🧶 Its claims
what's been told in this shape, in our words, by who told it: newest first in each; a claim's dots are the shows it came up on, in their lean's color (point at them for their names)
Told on the left 2
claims heard on left-leaning shows, and no right-leaning one
- 2026-10-14 “Israel faces imminent state collapse or civil war due to political and social fractures.” 3
- 2026-10-14 “A CIA assessment suggests a potential for an Israeli civil war.” 2
Told on the right 5
claims heard on right-leaning shows, and no left-leaning one
- 2026-10-30 “The Democrats are attempting to destabilize the country and provoke a civil war.” 3
- 2026-10-24 “The escalation of political violence and arrests will lead to a civil war.” 1
- 2026-10-24 “America is currently in a state of war.” 1
- 2026-10-24 “Democrats want a civil war.” 2
- 2026-10-16 “Israel was on the brink of a full-blown civil war leading up to October 7th.” 2
M1059 · first seen 2026-10-24 · last 2026-10-30 · what this is · how the index works